The latest polls have increased Trump's odds significantly—to 33.7%: https://t.co/2uB2oqpXy4 pic.twitter.com/TP56zvMYsn
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) July 14, 2016
Som Nate Silvers beräkningar visar så har Donald Trump nu knappat in rejält på Hillary Clintons försprång: För bara ett par veckor sen hade Clinton en 80% chans att vinna. Mycket handlar om hennes webbserver och att allt fler amerikaner nu inte längre litar på henne.
Amy Chozick och Dalia Sussman skriver i New York Times: Poll Finds Emails Weighing on Hillary Clinton, Now Tied With Donald Trump
As Mrs. Clinton prepares to accept the Democratic Party’s nomination at the convention in Philadelphia this month, she will confront an electorate in which 67 percent of voters say she is not honest and trustworthy. That number is up five percentage points from a CBS News poll conducted last month, before the F.B.I. released its findings.
Mrs. Clinton’s six-percentage-point lead over the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald J. Trump, in a CBS News poll last month has evaporated. The two candidates are now tied in a general election matchup, the new poll indicates, with each receiving the support of 40 percent of voters.
Any single poll is but a snapshot, and many other polls show Mrs. Clinton with a narrow but consistent lead over Mr. Trump. The Times/CBS News survey was conducted shortly after the release of the F.B.I. report on her email practices that suggested they were imprudent but not illegal. The damage from those revelations may or may not prove lasting.
Frågan är nu om hon kan behålla sitt försprång eller om Donald Trump kommer att ta ledningen. De närmaste veckorna kommer att bli gastkramande.
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